No matter what happens, I am confident the Iran war will be a major tailwind for gold.
Here is an overview of how I see the conflict unfolding and its major financial implications.
The Strait of Hormuz is the world’s most important energy corridor.
Iran now has undisputed control over Hormuz.
Stripping Iran of that control would require a successful full-scale ground invasion of Iran, a country roughly 40 times the size of Switzerland.
A full-scale ground invasion is unlikely to happen, and even if it somehow does, it is unlikely to succeed.
Iran is therefore likely to retain control over Hormuz.
The US is likely to suffer a historic strategic…
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