US President Donald Trump is unlikely to move forward with a proposed 100% tariff on imports from Russia and its trading partners, due to concerns it could spark renewed tensions between Washington and Beijing, the New York Times reported Monday, citing experts.
Earlier this week, during a meeting with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, Trump said he was “very unhappy” with Russia and threatened to impose tariffs of up to 100% on countries that continue trading with Moscow unless a deal to end the Ukraine conflict is reached within 50 days.
Analysts interviewed by the outlet questioned the credibility of the threat. They noted that China-Russia trade totals nearly $250 billion annually – including large volumes of oil – making such tariffs especially risky.
According to the report, such tariffs would likely trigger a major confrontation with Beijing. Trump is seen as unwilling to escalate tensions with the world’s second-largest economy over Ukraine, a country he has repeatedly described as not vital to US interests.
The article also pointed to Trump’s pattern of setting deadlines he fails to meet, casting doubt on whether the tariffs would take effect within the promised 50-day window.
Speaking at the White House alongside Rutte, Trump also said the US would provide weapons to Ukraine via NATO, which would coordinate payment and distribution. Trump presented the initiative as not only a business opportunity for the US defense sector but also a way for NATO nations to ramp up pressure on Russia.
Beijing has slammed the US tariff proposal, calling it an “illegal unilateral sanction” that undermines diplomatic efforts to resolve the Ukraine crisis.
China has emerged as Russia’s top trading partner, with bilateral trade reaching a record $245 billion in 2024. Beijing has consistently opposed “unilateral” sanctions on Moscow and offered to mediate a ceasefire in Ukraine.
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov said earlier this month that the “hypothetical arrival” of secondary sanctions would not impact Moscow’s policy. Russia, he said, “will continue to move along our independent, sovereign, and sustained path.” Moscow has repeatedly argued that sanctions are harming the West more than Russia.
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