From the Great Game to the Cold War, peripheral conflicts once defined great power rivalry. Today they increasingly signal strategic decline

World politics is ceasing to resemble a sporting contest. Instead, it’s becoming something colder and harsher as a kind of race for survival. And in such a contest, it will not be the most brilliant who endure, but those who know how to allocate their resources wisely. The reckless expenditure of military and political capital on peripheral objectives, or worse, for the sake of prestige, is no longer a mark of strength but rather a sign of decline.

The modern world is placing ever greater demands on…

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