The Melt-Up Trap: Why Stocks Must Rise Until the Dollar Breaks

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is one of the clearest windows into how the average American actually feels about the economy.

Each month, the university surveys households across the country, asking straightforward questions about personal finances, job prospects, inflation, and expectations for the future. Those responses are distilled into a single number that captures the public’s economic mood. Because it has been tracked for decades, the index offers a long-running reality check on confidence at the household level.

Today, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is sitting near record lows — decisively…

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