Underlying Inflation Falls to Lowest Levels in Five Years

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Wednesday that the personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.4 percent in February, a pickup from January’s 0.3 percent. Goods prices jumped 0.7 percent, led by a 1.1 percent surge in durables. Recreational goods and vehicles were up 2.2 percent. On the surface, this looks like a troubling inflation report that should give the Federal Reserve pause.

But look beneath the surface, and a very different picture emerges. Measures designed to capture the underlying trend in inflation — the ones that strip out the noise of a few categories…

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