HOUSTON, TEXAS – FEBRUARY 25: Tari Eason #17 and Amen Thompson #1 of the Houston Rockets battle for … [+]
The Milwaukee Bucks are running out of time to solidify their place in the Eastern Conference hierarchy.
At 32-25, they sit fifth in the East, just one game behind the Indiana Pacers for home-court advantage in the first round. But that’s only part of the story.
They’re also closer to the play-in tournament than they are to the third-seeded New York Knicks—a 5.5-game gap that feels uncloseable given what’s ahead.
And yet, they also can’t afford to slip up.
The red-hot Detroit Pistons have rattled off eight straight wins, pulling within striking distance of Milwaukee. Falling behind them would be disastrous—it’s one thing to travel to Indiana in the first round, but it’s another thing entirely to open against the Knicks at Madison Square Garden.
Unfortunately for Milwaukee, things are about to get brutal.
The Road Ahead: A War of Attrition
The Bucks have already been tested. Five of their last six games have come against playoff-caliber teams—the Warriors, Timberwolves, Clippers, Heat, and Rockets—and they’ve managed a 4-2 record in that stretch.
That was the warm-up. Now comes the real challenge.
They host the 38-20 Denver Nuggets on Thursday, a team that’s won nine of its last ten and is finally getting healthy.
Then it’s a road game against the 31-28 Dallas Mavericks, who, even without Luka Dončić and Anthony Davis, still have Kyrie Irving and a dangerous supporting cast. They’ll see the Mavs again at home next week, too.
After that, the murderers’ row continues. Here is who Milwaukee will see in March:
- Cleveland Cavaliers (48-10) – the NBA’s best team by record
- Indiana Pacers (33-24) – twice
- Los Angeles Lakers (35-21) – twice
- Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) – the Western Conference’s top seed
- Another meeting with Denver
- A massive showdown with the Knicks
And that’s before factoring in games against the Kings and Warriors, both of whom are over .500 and fighting for playoff positioning.
This stretch isn’t just about the competition—it’s about the sheer volume of games, too.
The Schedule is Relentless
The last time this season the Bucks will get two full days off between games is March 6th and 7th. It’s nonstop action after that.
From March 8th to April 13th, the Bucks will either play every day or every other day. Zero breathers. No let-up.
Then there’s April, where the NBA squeezed in a makeup game against the New Orleans Pelicans, meaning Milwaukee plays eight games in 13 days, including two back-to-backs.
This has to be on Doc Rivers’ radar. The Bucks are an older team that has collapsed physically in the playoffs for three straight seasons. They can’t afford another postseason marred by injuries, but this schedule does them no favors.
What’s at Stake? Everything.
The Bucks are at a crossroads.
They enter this stretch as a fringe contender—talented, but inconsistent. They have flashes of dominance, but also stretches of uninspired play.
This next month will define who they really are.
If they thrive in this gauntlet—beat elite teams, lock down a top-four seed, and enter the playoffs with momentum—they’ll be seen as legitimate title threats again. The narrative will shift. The doubts will fade.
If they stumble—if injuries pile up and if they limp into the playoffs as a lower seed—they’ll enter the postseason as just another team. Not a contender. Not a threat. Just another team.
This is it. Their toughest test yet. The next month will show whether Milwaukee is built for another championship run—or just another early exit.
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