Guest post by Drieu Godefridi
The European Union (EU) is entering a critical phase. What is unfolding in Brussels is no longer merely a crisis of governance: it is an existential crisis. Between radical green ideology, authoritarian drift, East–West divisions, and growing rejection by the people, everything indicates that the community system, as it has functioned for the past fifty years, is buckling under the weight of reality.
1. An Elite Disconnected from the People
No one voted for Ursula von der Leyen or any of the European commissioners, whose faces are unknown to most Europeans — who, however, know their iron rule all too well.
Under the guise of ecology, Brussels has imposed a Green Deal that impoverishes the middle class, prevents farmers from working, and accelerates the deindustrialisation of the continent. Energy bills are soaring, and businesses are closing one after another. The United States and China, meanwhile, are reaping the rewards in terms of jobs and investment.
Figures such as Spanish Commissioner Teresa Ribera, Executive Vice-President for a Clean, Just and Competitive Transition, are emblematic of this mindset. Convinced of holding the truth, Ribera advocates reinforcing the Green Deal even as European industry collapses — all in the name of reducing, again and again, CO₂ emissions.
In reality, outside Europe, few still care about CO₂ emissions, since humanity will adapt to climate change as it always has. We are preparing to colonise and terraform Mars, to conquer the solar system — yet we are told we cannot adapt to a 1.5-degree temperature rise?
Instead of listening to its citizens — those who simply wish to work, prosper, and raise their children — the EU responds with censorship. It multiplies regulations against so-called “disinformation,” tightens surveillance over social media, and represses dissenting voices. To crown it all, Commissioner Ribera now proposes a full-scale tariff war with Washington — as if Europe, already on its knees, could afford to alienate its only ally.
The divorce between the EU bureaucracy and the peoples of Europe has never been deeper.
2. The End of the Anti-Right Cordon Sanitaire
For decades, European democracy has rested on a tacit agreement: the centre-right (EPP) refuses to ally with the right, preferring to govern with the left and radical greens. This mechanism — a cordon sanitaire imported from German and French political culture — nullifies democracy. The left has thus maintained ideological control over the Union, even when it loses elections.
But this system is collapsing.
In France, the strategy of systematically excluding the national right is no longer tenable. In Germany, yet another coalition cobbled together to block the AfD is struggling to convince a nation whose once-mighty industry is crumbling. In Brussels, electoral reality is becoming impossible to ignore: voters are turning en masse to the right, expressing a massive rejection of European policies.
The EPP will have to break with the left and finally heed its electorate — as it has already begun to do.
3. Eastern Europe Says No to Islamic Immigration
The countries of Central and Eastern Europe — Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, and the Balkans — reject the Western European model founded on mass immigration, the dilution of national identities, and imposed multiculturalism.
They oppose Islamisation, the social dependency of “migrants” sustained by welfare systems, and the staggering cost of this delusional migration policy. Their rejection is not circumstantial; it is cultural and definitive.
The East sees the West as a weary illusion, eaten away by post-colonial guilt and progressive ideology. To believe that Eastern Europeans will change their minds while Islamist attacks multiply — and the Belgian Prime Minister narrowly escapes a drone attack orchestrated by his Islamist neighbours (!) — is pure fantasy.
The Islamisation of pockets of Western Europe — Molenbeek and Brussels, the 93rd arrondissement and Marseille — is already well advanced. But there will be no Islamisation in Central and Eastern Europe. This divide alone constitutes a vital threat to the EU, because the left-wing “elites” of Europe have made Islam a matter of principle. Their multicultural utopia, nourished by hatred of the West, demands the massive importation of Islamic populations.
4. The European People Are Waking Up
Under the combined effects of the Green Deal, carbon taxes, deindustrialisation, and Byzantine regulations — more than 200,000 pages of European law — the European economy is collapsing.
When Americans pay $100 to heat their homes, Europeans pay 500. Meanwhile, the average American earns net 2.5 times more than the average European. Even a child can see that this is unsustainable — a child, but not the European Commission. European households struggle to heat their homes, feed themselves, and clothe their children. Farmers block roads, truckers protest, the middle class slides into poverty, rises again, then falls back — a harsh, endless cycle.
In response, right-wing parties are rising to power across almost all European countries. The left — which has staked everything on migrants and extreme ideologies such as transgender activism, open borders, and radical environmentalism, often inspired and financed by American groups like Mr. Soros’s Open Society — is collapsing everywhere.
The story is simple: when you strip people of their dignity, they fight back.
Conclusion: An Inevitable Implosion?
The European Union, in its current form, is nearing its end. Its agony may last months, perhaps a few years — no one knows.
The EU is being scuttled by an “elite” that no longer believes in the people, and by people who no longer believe in it.
The EU will crack.
The only question is when — and in what form — the Europe that follows will be reborn.
Drieu Godefridi is a jurist (University Saint-Louis, University of Louvain), philosopher (University Saint-Louis, University of Louvain) and PhD in legal theory (Paris IV-Sorbonne). He is an entrepreneur, CEO of a European private education group and director of PAN Medias Group. He is the author of The Green Reich (2020).
You can follow Drieu on X.
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