Alexa Grasso Vs. Natalia Silva

One of the most consequential non-title fights on the UFC 315 pay-per-view card is the women’s flyweight matchup between former champion Alexa Grasso and rising contender Natalia Silva. Below, we look at the picks, predictions, and betting odds for the UFC 315 fight card Grasso vs. Silva matchup.

The main event of the ESPN+ streaming PPV card finds UFC welterweight champion Belal Muhammad making his first defense of his title. Muhammad faces the No. 5 ranked Jack Della Maddalena in that contest. Meanwhile, in the UFC 315 co-main event, Valentina Shevchenko looks to start her second run as the women’s flyweight champion with a victory over the No. 2 ranked contender, Manon Fiorot.

UFC 315 takes place on Saturday, May 10, from Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. The main card streams on ESPN+ pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on ESPN+.

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UFC 315 Fight Card: Alexa Grasso Vs. Natalia Silva

Alexa Grasso (16-4-1) was a perfect 8-0 when she signed with the UFC in August 2016. She debuted with a win over Heather Jo Clark in November of that year. However, she struggled after that, going 2-3 in her next five fights. Grasso beat Randa Markos and Karolina Kowalkiewicz over that two-year stretch while falling to Felice Herrig, Tatiana Suarez, and Carla Esparza. Grasso’s first six UFC fights all took place at strawweight.

In 2020, Grasso made the move to flyweight, and it paid off. Four wins between August 2020 and October 2022 put her inside the top six of the 125-pound division and earned her a shot at then-champion Valentina Shevchenko in March 2023.

In a surprising upset on the UFC 285 card, Grasso submitted Shevchenko to claim the title and hand Shevchenko her first defeat since she lost to Amanda Nunes in a bantamweight title fight in March 20216.

In a September 2023 rematch with Shevchenko, Grasso retained her belt in a fighter that was ruled a split draw. Grasso’s run with the belt ended at UFC 306 in September 2024 when Shevchenko earned a unanimous decision win.

Grasso is the No. 1 ranked fighter in the official UFC women’s flyweight rankings.

Natalia Silva (18-5-1) is a former Jungle Fights flyweight titleholder. Silva signed with the UFC in 2020, however she did not make her UFC debut until 2022 after suffering a broken arm and injury setbacks.

She made her first walk to the Octagon against Jasmine Jasudavicius, winning that bout by decision. Since then, Silva has picked up five more UFC wins, most recently defeating former UFC women’s strawweight champion Jessica Andrade in September in a scrap that took home “Fight of the Night” honors.

Silva enters UFC 315 as the No. 5 fighter in the women’s 125-pound division.

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UFC 315: Alexa Grasso Vs. Natalia Silva Betting Odds And Line Movement

According to BetOnline, this fight opened as a pick ’em with both women coming in at -110. The betting line has shifted significantly for this matchup. Today, Grasso is the +205 betting underdog, while Silva checks in as the -240 betting favorite.

UFC 315 Fight Card Tale Of The Tape: Alexa Grasso Vs. Natalia Silva

Alexa Grasso

Age: 31
Height: 5’ 5”
Reach: 66”
Stance: Orthodox

Natalia Silva

Age: 28
Height: 5’ 4”
Reach: 75”
Stance: Southpaw

UFC 315 Fight Card Predictions and Picks: Alexa Grasso Vs. Natalia Silva

This is the fight where Grasso’s run at the top of the division comes to an end. While Grasso has looked good over her past few fights, she hasn’t shown progress or the ability to make adjustments when needed. In short, we’ve seen the best of Grasso in the cage, which gives Silva and her team a blueprint to train for. Look for Silva, who is the better all-around fighter, and still progressing to pick up a decision win at UFC 315.

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We will have more on UFC 315 Grasso vs. Silva scrap as fight night nears, as well as live results, reactions, highlights and more for the UFC 315 pay-per-view card on fight night.